LogisticsIndustry ContextWednesday, April 15, 20264 min read

Commentary: FedEx and UPS need to move up the e-commerce food chain

Freightwaves2d agoamazonetsyshopify
Commentary: FedEx and UPS need to move up the e-commerce food chain
Executive Summary

FedEx and UPS are losing B2C market share as Amazon and major retailers build their own delivery networks, with B2C shipments now representing 70% of the parcel market compared to 10% in 1985. Industry analyst suggests carriers should invest in e-commerce platforms like Etsy instead of last-mile delivery acquisitions to move up the value chain.

Our Take

If FedEx/UPS shift focus to competing with Amazon's fulfillment services, expect new 3PL partnerships and potentially better shipping rates for non-Amazon sellers. Monitor your shipping cost per unit and delivery performance metrics as carriers may prioritize higher-value, multi-zone shipments over cheap last-mile delivery.

What This Means

This signals the logistics industry's response to Amazon's dominance - expect more fulfillment competition and potentially lower shipping costs for sellers who diversify beyond Amazon's ecosystem.

Key Takeaways

Review your shipping mix in Seller Central reports - carriers are deprioritizing light, low-value packages from Chinese sellers and Amazon FBA alternatives may become more competitive

Evaluate 3PL options beyond Amazon FBA as FedEx/UPS may launch fulfillment services targeting Shopify and Etsy sellers in the next 12 months

Bottom Line

Shipping carriers pivoting to fulfillment means new FBA alternatives coming.

Source Lens

Industry Context

Useful background context, but lower-priority than direct platform, community, or operator intelligence.

Impact Level

medium

Shipping carriers pivoting to fulfillment means new FBA alternatives coming.

Key Stat / Trigger

70% of parcel market now B2C shipments vs 10% in 1985

Focus on the operational implication, not just the headline.

Relevant For
SellersAgencies

Full Coverage

By Satish Jindel The Big Three legacy parcel carriers — FedEx, UPS and the U. S. Postal Service — are under pressure like never before as their largest retail customers build out residential delivery networks of their own in response to the massive shift in shopping from stores to digital channels.

FedEx and UPS will be left behind unless they transform their core competency from being parcel carriers to e-commerce enablers. The parcel shipping industry has dramatically changed since 1985, when 90% of parcel shipments were between businesses. Today, B2C shipments account for 70% of the parcel market.

FedEx (NYSE: FDX) and UPS (NYSE: UPS) are profitable, so why change the business model? Positioning themselves as parcel delivery companies in this new era of e-commerce is leading them to invest in options aimed at lowering the cost of last-mile delivery. That results in them operating at the bottom of the food chain. window. googletag = window.

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display('div-gpt-ad-1709668545404-0'); }); To be sure, the two integrators have made shipment quality a priority, rejecting light, low-priced last-mile delivery business from Chinese e-commerce sellers and Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) in favor of multizone, heavyweight and high-value packages that can support higher rates.

To achieve lower cost of last mile delivery, UPS acquired same-day delivery platform Roadie for $586 million in 2021. And last February, FedEx announced it is investing $3. 4 billion in InPost, a European courier with a large parcel locker network in Europe.

Instead, FedEx and UPS should invest in e-commerce platforms like Etsy (NYSE: ETSY) and others, where they would sit at the top of the food chain and be able to influence all aspects of fulfillment and delivery for online orders while helping millions of e-tailers better compete with sellers using Amazon’s marketplace.

An optimized shipping experience will create a virtuous flywheel that will generate additional orders from satisfied consumers, driving more parcel business with higher delivery density to FedEx and UPS. Amazon has long taken a broad view of its core competency.

First, it invested in Fulfillment by Amazon to help e-tailers on its online platform with fulfillment and delivery. FBA has generated great returns as about 60% of Amazon online sales and parcel deliveries come from merchants supported by FBA, enabling Amazon to build its own delivery network.

It extended that thinking even to its suppliers when it contracted with Air Transport Services Group in 2016 to operate Boeing 767 freighter aircraft for its logistics network. It secured warrants to purchase a minority stake in ATSG, which generated a great return when ATSG was acquired last year for $3. 1 billion by private equity fund Stonepeak.

If FedEx had such a broad view before, and had invested just $1 billion in Shopify a decade ago, instead of $4. 8 billion in Europe’s TNT Express, that investment would be worth $50 billion today. Besides the great return on investment, FedEx would have become the primary delivery partner, instead of the U. S.

Postal Service, for millions of small e-tailers selling products using Shopify. window. googletag = window. googletag || {cmd: []}; googletag. cmd. push(function() {googletag. defineSlot('/21776187881/fw-responsive-main_content-slot3', [[728, 90], [468, 60], [320, 50], [300, 100]], 'div-gpt-ad-1665767553440-0'). defineSizeMapping(gptSizeMaps. banner1).

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display('div-gpt-ad-1665767553440-0'); }); While too late to invest in Shopify (NASDAQ: SHOP) given its market cap is about two times its own, it is not too late for FedEx or UPS to make a friendly investment in Etsy, or another e-commerce marketplace, or engage one of them in a strategic partnership.

FedEx, for example, could leverage its Dataworks capabilities to help millions of small merchants manage fulfillment and delivery.

Instead of someone receiving five packages on five different days, only to accumulate on the porch and be susceptible to rain and thieves, FedEx could offer affiliated merchants a better value proposition than available for those on Amazon’s marketplace.

An e-commerce partnership would also reduce diversion of more parcels to Amazon Logistics, which last year delivered more parcels than any of the Big Three carriers. And it would help FedEx and UPS attract small-and-medium shippers faster than with their current approach. Fed

Original Source

This briefing is based on reporting from Freightwaves. Use the original post for full primary-source context.

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